Where and when is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu played?

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, Malatya

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,610) and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu (1,521).

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win56 %

Draw25 %

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Çorluspor 1947(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	4-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2026	Silifke Belediyespor(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Silifke Belediyespor(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Play-offs

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jan 28, 2026	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)	0-6	2. Lig
Jan 24, 2026	Bursaspor(away)	0-3	2. Lig
Jan 17, 2026	68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)	1-8	2. Lig
Dec 22, 2025	Kırklarelispor(away)	1-1	2. Lig
Dec 17, 2025	Isparta 32 Spor(home)	3-5	2. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	2.1	1.1	4	10/15	8/15
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	1.4	3.0	3	6/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?: The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
Where and when is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu played?: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.