Karaman FK vs Diyarbekirspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Karaman Stadyumu, Karaman
The Footlab model makes Karaman FK the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Diyarbekirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karaman FK vs Diyarbekirspor?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Karaman FK (1,501) and Diyarbekirspor (1,512).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karaman FK have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Diyarbekirspor have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(home) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ankaraspor(away) | 4-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(home) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 2-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 4-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kırşehir Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Karaman FK win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Diyarbekirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | Diyarbekirspor 2-1 Karaman FK | 2. Lig |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Karaman FK 2-0 Diyarbekirspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Diyarbekirspor vs Karaman FK on Mar 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Karaman FK score 1.0 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karaman FK | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Diyarbekirspor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karaman FK vs Diyarbekirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Karaman FK the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Diyarbekirspor.
- Where and when is Karaman FK vs Diyarbekirspor played?
- Karaman FK vs Diyarbekirspor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Karaman Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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