Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Osmaniyespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, Bitlis
The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Osmaniyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Osmaniyespor?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Bitlis Özgüzelderespor (1,547) and Osmaniyespor (1,525).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Bitlis Özgüzelderespor have 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Osmaniyespor have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2025 | Karaköprü Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1954 Kelkit Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Hakkari Zapspor(home) | 2-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 15, 2022 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away) | 0-3 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Aug 29, 2019 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kırşehir Belediyespor(away) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | 12 Bingölspor(home) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Kapadokyaspor(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 8; Osmaniyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitlis Özgüzelderespor | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| Osmaniyespor | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Osmaniyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Osmaniyespor.
- Where and when is Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Osmaniyespor played?
- Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Osmaniyespor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026Yeni MalatyasporvsAdanaspor
- Nov 22, 2026Kırşehir BelediyesporvsYeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
- Nov 22, 2026Ağrı 1970vsYozgat Bld Bozokspor
- Nov 22, 2026Karaman FKvsDiyarbekirspor
- Nov 22, 2026Karaköprü BelediyesporvsYeşilyurt Belediyespor
- Nov 22, 2026Silifke BelediyesporvsKırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
- Nov 22, 2026Niğde BelediyesisporvsTalasgücü Belediyespor
- Nov 22, 2026Adana AdaletgucuvsMazıdağı Fosfatspor