Match

Yeni Malatyaspor vs Adanaspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, Malatya

Yeni MalatyasporAdanaspor

The Footlab model makes Yeni Malatyaspor the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Adanaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yeni Malatyaspor vs Adanaspor?

A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Yeni Malatyaspor (1,334) and Adanaspor (1,334).

Yeni Malatyaspor win49 %
Draw26 %
Adanaspor win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeni Malatyaspor have 0 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats; Adanaspor have 0, 0 and 15.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yeni Malatyaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2025Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)0-02. Lig
Nov 2, 2025Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 25, 20251461 Trabzon FK(home)0-42. Lig
Oct 19, 2025Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-32. Lig
Oct 11, 2025Aliağa FAŞ(away)1-82. Lig
Adanaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)0-62. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)0-12. Lig
Apr 4, 20261461 Trabzon FK(home)0-32. Lig
Mar 25, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(home)1-82. Lig
Mar 15, 2026Somaspor(away)0-52. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Yeni Malatyaspor win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Adanaspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 20, 2025Yeni Malatyaspor 0-4 Adanaspor1. Lig
Dec 13, 2024Adanaspor 3-1 Yeni Malatyaspor1. Lig
Jan 22, 2023Adanaspor 2-2 Yeni Malatyaspor1. Lig
Aug 21, 2022Yeni Malatyaspor 1-1 Adanaspor1. Lig
Feb 27, 2016Yeni Malatyaspor 1-1 Adanaspor1. Lig
Sep 28, 2015Adanaspor 2-0 Yeni Malatyaspor1. Lig

Last archived meeting: Yeni Malatyaspor vs Adanaspor on Apr 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Yeni Malatyaspor score 0.6 and concede 4.5 goals per match over their last 15; Adanaspor score 0.1 and concede 5.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yeni Malatyaspor0.64.519/1512/15
Adanaspor0.15.302/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yeni Malatyaspor vs Adanaspor?
The Footlab model makes Yeni Malatyaspor the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Adanaspor.
Where and when is Yeni Malatyaspor vs Adanaspor played?
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Adanaspor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Yeni Malatyaspor and Adanaspor

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