Karela vs Samartex: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, Nalerigu
The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 55%, against 30% for a draw and 15% for Samartex. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karela vs Samartex?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Karela (1,569) and Samartex (1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karela have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Samartex have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Young Apostles(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Heart of Lions(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Bibiani Gold Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karela win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Samartex win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Karela 0-1 Samartex | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Samartex 1-1 Karela | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Samartex 2-0 Karela | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Karela 1-1 Samartex | Premier League |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Karela 4-2 Samartex | Premier League |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Samartex 3-0 Karela | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Samartex score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Samartex | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karela sit 9th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Samartex sit 5th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Samartex | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 50 |
| 9 | Karela | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karela vs Samartex?
- The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 55%, against 30% for a draw and 15% for Samartex.
- Where and when is Karela vs Samartex played?
- Karela vs Samartex is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Asante KotokovsDebibi United
- Jan 16, 2027Ashanti GoldvsPort City
- Jan 16, 2027Aduana StarsvsHeart of Lions
- Jan 16, 2027Berekum ChelseavsHearts of Oak
- Jan 16, 2027MedeamavsDreams
- Jan 16, 2027Bibiani Gold StarsvsBechem United
- Jan 16, 2027Swedru All BlacksvsBasake Holy Stars
- Jan 16, 2027Young ApostlesvsVision