Match

Karela vs Samartex: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, Nalerigu

KarelaSamartex

The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 55%, against 30% for a draw and 15% for Samartex. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karela vs Samartex?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Karela (1,569) and Samartex (1,580).

Karela win55 %
Draw30 %
Samartex win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karela have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Samartex have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Nations(home)0-1Premier League
May 17, 2026Swedru All Blacks(home)1-0Premier League
May 10, 2026Vision(away)0-3Premier League
May 6, 2026Hearts of Oak(away)0-0Premier League
May 3, 2026Young Apostles(home)2-1Premier League
Samartex
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Young Apostles(away)0-2Premier League
May 17, 2026Hearts of Oak(home)1-0Premier League
May 10, 2026Heart of Lions(away)0-3Premier League
May 6, 2026Bibiani Gold Stars(away)0-2Premier League
May 3, 2026Basake Holy Stars(home)3-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karela win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Samartex win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Karela 0-1 SamartexPremier League
Sep 21, 2025Samartex 1-1 KarelaPremier League
Apr 16, 2025Samartex 2-0 KarelaPremier League
Oct 6, 2024Karela 1-1 SamartexPremier League
Jun 9, 2024Karela 4-2 SamartexPremier League
Dec 24, 2023Samartex 3-0 KarelaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Karela vs Samartex on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Samartex score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karela0.90.983/154/15
Samartex0.71.064/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Karela sit 9th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Samartex sit 5th (50 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Samartex34131110262550
9Karela34131011323349

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karela vs Samartex?
The Footlab model makes Karela the favourite at 55%, against 30% for a draw and 15% for Samartex.
Where and when is Karela vs Samartex played?
Karela vs Samartex is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Karela and Samartex

Ready to know everything about football?