Karela vs Samartex: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, Nalerigu
The Footlab AI model makes Karela the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Samartex. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karela vs Samartex?
On Elo ratings, Karela has 1,590 points and Samartex 1,616.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karela vs Samartex
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karela
4-3-3- 11E. Antwi Konadu
- 29Mohammed Mankuyeli
- 9D. Holland
- 14L. Devitt
- 13M. Abubakar
- 29M. A. Alhassan
- 3F. Gariba
- 30A. Ali
- 24Edmund Afurapoe
- 2F. Mohammed
- 16K. Amechi
Samartex
4-3-3- 9G. Osei
- 29Mohammed Mankuyeli
- 9Francis Gyetuah
- 5S. Kyei
- 14A. Sarpong
- 24E. Essien
- 19R. Lynch
- 32James Sewornu
- 17I. Afful
- 2S. Mensah
- 16P. Manning
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karela have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Samartex have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dreams(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Asante Kotoko(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Aduana Stars(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bechem United(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ashanti Gold(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Asante Kotoko(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aduana Stars(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karela win, 2 draws, 3 Samartex wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Samartex 3-1 Karela | Premier League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Karela 0-1 Samartex | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Samartex 1-1 Karela | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Samartex 2-0 Karela | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Karela 1-1 Samartex | Premier League |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Karela 4-2 Samartex | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Karela score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Samartex score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karela | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Samartex | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karela sit 8th in Premier League (9 points from 6 matches) and Samartex sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Samartex | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Karela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Karela vs Samartex?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karela vs Samartex?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karela the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Samartex.
- Where and when is Karela vs Samartex played?
- Karela vs Samartex is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Asante KotokovsDebibi United
- Jan 16, 2027Ashanti GoldvsPort City
- Jan 16, 2027Aduana StarsvsHeart of Lions
- Jan 16, 2027Berekum ChelseavsHearts of Oak
- Jan 16, 2027MedeamavsDreams
- Jan 16, 2027Bibiani Gold StarsvsBechem United
- Jan 16, 2027Swedru All BlacksvsBasake Holy Stars
- Jan 16, 2027Young ApostlesvsVision