Aduana Stars vs Heart of Lions: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Agyeman Badu Stadium, Dormaa Ahenkro
The Footlab model makes Aduana Stars the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 18% for Heart of Lions. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aduana Stars vs Heart of Lions?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Aduana Stars (1,574) and Heart of Lions (1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aduana Stars have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Heart of Lions have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Samartex(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Aduana Stars(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karela(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aduana Stars win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Heart of Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Aduana Stars 0-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Heart of Lions 0-1 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Heart of Lions 2-1 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Aduana Stars 1-1 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Aduana Stars 1-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Heart of Lions 1-2 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aduana Stars vs Heart of Lions on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aduana Stars score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Heart of Lions score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aduana Stars | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Heart of Lions | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aduana Stars sit 6th in Premier League (50 points from 34 matches) and Heart of Lions sit 14th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 24 | 50 |
| 14 | Heart of Lions | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 33 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aduana Stars vs Heart of Lions?
- The Footlab model makes Aduana Stars the favourite at 51%, against 31% for a draw and 18% for Heart of Lions.
- Where and when is Aduana Stars vs Heart of Lions played?
- Aduana Stars vs Heart of Lions is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Agyeman Badu Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.