Karlskrona vs Oskarshamns AIK: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSödra Götaland - 22Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Västra Marks IP, Karlskrona
The Footlab model makes Karlskrona the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Oskarshamns AIK. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlskrona vs Oskarshamns AIK?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Karlskrona (1,613) and Oskarshamns AIK (1,549).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlskrona have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Oskarshamns AIK have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Växjö Norra(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lilla Torg(away) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torns(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Nosaby(home) | 5-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Österlen(away) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Linero(home) | 7-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Österlen(away) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlshamn(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lilla Torg(away) | 3-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Sölvesborg(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Karlskrona win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Oskarshamns AIK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Oskarshamns AIK 0-3 Karlskrona | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Karlskrona 4-4 Oskarshamns AIK | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 22, 2020 | Oskarshamns AIK 3-2 Karlskrona | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 28, 2018 | Karlskrona 1-1 Oskarshamns AIK | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 8, 2018 | Oskarshamns AIK 1-1 Karlskrona | Ettan - Södra |
| Oct 14, 2017 | Oskarshamns AIK 3-4 Karlskrona | Ettan - Södra |
Last archived meeting: Oskarshamns AIK vs Karlskrona on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karlskrona score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Oskarshamns AIK score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlskrona | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Oskarshamns AIK | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlskrona sit 1st in Division 2 - Södra Götaland (27 points from 13 matches) and Oskarshamns AIK sit 2nd (24 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karlskrona | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 27 |
| 1 | Karlskrona | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 18 | 42 |
| 2 | Oskarshamns AIK | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | Oskarshamns AIK | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlskrona vs Oskarshamns AIK?
- The Footlab model makes Karlskrona the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Oskarshamns AIK.
- Where and when is Karlskrona vs Oskarshamns AIK played?
- Karlskrona vs Oskarshamns AIK is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Västra Marks IP, in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.