Karlshamn vs Karlskrona: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSödra Götaland - 23Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Vägga IP 1, Karlshamn
The Footlab model makes Karlskrona the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Karlshamn. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlshamn vs Karlskrona?
Karlskrona is a heavy favourite: 1,613 Elo points against 1,296 — a 317-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlshamn have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Karlskrona have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sölvesborg(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(home) | 1-5 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oskarshamns AIK(away) | 0-5 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Räppe(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Linero(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Växjö Norra(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lilla Torg(away) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torns(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Nosaby(home) | 5-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Österlen(away) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karlshamn win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Karlskrona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Karlskrona 3-1 Karlshamn | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Karlshamn 0-4 Karlskrona | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Karlskrona 3-1 Karlshamn | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Karlskrona 4-1 Karlshamn | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| May 17, 2024 | Karlshamn 2-1 Karlskrona | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 4, 2021 | Karlskrona 4-0 Karlshamn | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Karlskrona vs Karlshamn on Jun 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karlshamn score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karlskrona score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlshamn | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Karlskrona | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlshamn sit 14th in Division 2 - Södra Götaland (7 points from 13 matches) and Karlskrona sit 1st (27 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karlskrona | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 27 |
| 1 | Karlskrona | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 18 | 42 |
| 14 | Karlshamn | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 7 |
| 14 | Karlshamn | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlshamn vs Karlskrona?
- The Footlab model makes Karlskrona the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Karlshamn.
- Where and when is Karlshamn vs Karlskrona played?
- Karlshamn vs Karlskrona is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Vägga IP 1, in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.