Berga vs Karlshamn: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra GötalandSödra Götaland - 22Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Bergavik IP A, Kalmar
The Footlab model makes Berga the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Karlshamn. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berga vs Karlshamn?
Berga starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,442 vs 1,296).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berga have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Karlshamn have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Staffanstorp United(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torns(away) | 4-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Räppe(away) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Växjö Norra(home) | 3-1 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sölvesborg(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IFK Trelleborg(home) | 1-5 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oskarshamns AIK(away) | 0-5 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Räppe(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Linero(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Berga win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Karlshamn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Karlshamn 0-1 Berga | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Berga 4-3 Karlshamn | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Karlshamn 2-1 Berga | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Berga 1-1 Karlshamn | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Karlshamn 0-0 Berga | Division 2 - Södra Götaland |
How many goals should we expect?
Berga score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karlshamn score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berga | 2.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Karlshamn | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berga sit 7th in Division 2 - Södra Götaland (18 points from 13 matches) and Karlshamn sit 14th (7 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Berga | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 24 | 31 |
| 7 | Berga | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 18 | 18 |
| 14 | Karlshamn | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 7 |
| 14 | Karlshamn | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 43 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berga vs Karlshamn?
- The Footlab model makes Berga the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Karlshamn.
- Where and when is Berga vs Karlshamn played?
- Berga vs Karlshamn is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Bergavik IP A, in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.