Karonga United vs CIVO United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Karonga Stadium, Karonga
The Footlab model makes CIVO United the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Karonga United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karonga United vs CIVO United?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Karonga United (1,459) and CIVO United (1,517).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karonga United have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; CIVO United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Creck(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | MAFCO(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Masters FC(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Karonga United win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 CIVO United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | CIVO United 0-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| Dec 24, 2025 | Karonga United 1-2 CIVO United | Super League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | CIVO United 0-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | CIVO United 3-0 Karonga United | Super League |
| May 19, 2024 | Karonga United 1-1 CIVO United | Super League |
| Sep 24, 2023 | CIVO United 1-1 Karonga United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: CIVO United vs Karonga United on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karonga United score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CIVO United score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karonga United | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| CIVO United | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karonga United sit 14th in Super League (13 points from 14 matches) and CIVO United sit 11th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Karonga United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 11 | CIVO United | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | CIVO United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Karonga United | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karonga United vs CIVO United?
- The Footlab model makes CIVO United the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Karonga United.
- Where and when is Karonga United vs CIVO United played?
- Karonga United vs CIVO United is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Karonga Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.