Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Karonga Stadium, Karonga
The Footlab model makes Karonga United the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Kamuzu Barracks. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Karonga United (1,459) and Kamuzu Barracks (1,457).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karonga United have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kamuzu Barracks have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Creck(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | MAFCO(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Masters FC(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karonga United win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kamuzu Barracks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks 1-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Kamuzu Barracks 1-0 Karonga United | Super League |
| Jul 7, 2025 | Karonga United 0-1 Kamuzu Barracks | Super League |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Karonga United 0-0 Kamuzu Barracks | Super League |
| May 30, 2024 | Kamuzu Barracks 2-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Kamuzu Barracks 1-2 Karonga United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Kamuzu Barracks vs Karonga United on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karonga United score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kamuzu Barracks score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karonga United | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Kamuzu Barracks | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karonga United sit 14th in Super League (13 points from 14 matches) and Kamuzu Barracks sit 15th (12 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Karonga United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| 14 | Karonga United | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks?
- The Footlab model makes Karonga United the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Kamuzu Barracks.
- Where and when is Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks played?
- Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks is played on November 22, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Karonga Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.