Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Karonga Stadium, Karonga
The Footlab AI model makes Karonga United the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Kamuzu Barracks. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karonga United wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Karonga United (1,457) and Kamuzu Barracks (1,421).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karonga United
Not enough data to predict the Karonga United lineup.
Kamuzu Barracks
Not enough data to predict the Kamuzu Barracks lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karonga United have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Kamuzu Barracks have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CIVO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ekhaya(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ekhaya(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CIVO United(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karonga United win, 2 draws, 3 Kamuzu Barracks wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks 1-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Kamuzu Barracks 1-0 Karonga United | Super League |
| Jul 7, 2025 | Karonga United 0-1 Kamuzu Barracks | Super League |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Karonga United 0-0 Kamuzu Barracks | Super League |
| May 30, 2024 | Kamuzu Barracks 2-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Kamuzu Barracks 1-2 Karonga United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Kamuzu Barracks vs Karonga United on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karonga United score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kamuzu Barracks score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karonga United | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Kamuzu Barracks | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karonga United sit 13th in Super League (14 points from 15 matches) and Kamuzu Barracks sit 15th (12 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 24 | 12 |
A question about Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karonga United the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Kamuzu Barracks.
- Where and when is Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks played?
- Karonga United vs Kamuzu Barracks is played on November 22, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Karonga Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.