Creck vs Moyale Barracks: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Creck the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Moyale Barracks. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Creck vs Moyale Barracks?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Creck (1,458) and Moyale Barracks (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Creck have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Moyale Barracks have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ekhaya(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CIVO United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Creck win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Moyale Barracks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Moyale Barracks 1-0 Creck | Super League |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Moyale Barracks 2-0 Creck | Super League |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Creck 1-0 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Moyale Barracks 0-0 Creck | Super League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Creck 3-2 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Moyale Barracks vs Creck on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Creck score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Moyale Barracks score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creck | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Moyale Barracks | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Creck sit 16th in Super League (9 points from 14 matches) and Moyale Barracks sit 9th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
| 16 | Creck | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 9 |
| 16 | Creck | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Creck vs Moyale Barracks?
- The Footlab model makes Creck the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Moyale Barracks.
- Where and when is Creck vs Moyale Barracks played?
- Creck vs Moyale Barracks is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.