Mitundu Baptist vs Red Lions: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Mitundu Baptist the favourite at 47%, against 33% for a draw and 20% for Red Lions. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mitundu Baptist vs Red Lions?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Mitundu Baptist (1,468) and Red Lions (1,405).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Mitundu Baptist have 5 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Red Lions have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chitipa United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Karonga United(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ekhaya(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | CIVO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Mitundu Baptist win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Red Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Red Lions 1-0 Mitundu Baptist | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Red Lions vs Mitundu Baptist on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mitundu Baptist score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 14; Red Lions score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitundu Baptist | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/14 | 3/14 |
| Red Lions | 0.8 | 1.3 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mitundu Baptist sit 7th in Super League (19 points from 14 matches) and Red Lions sit 8th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Red Lions | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Mitundu Baptist | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
| 8 | Red Lions | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
| 10 | Mitundu Baptist | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mitundu Baptist vs Red Lions?
- The Footlab model makes Mitundu Baptist the favourite at 47%, against 33% for a draw and 20% for Red Lions.
- Where and when is Mitundu Baptist vs Red Lions played?
- Mitundu Baptist vs Red Lions is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.