Karpaty vs Veres Rivne: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ukraina, Lviv
The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 11% for Veres Rivne. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karpaty vs Veres Rivne?
Karpaty starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,728).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karpaty have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Veres Rivne have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inhulets(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Karpaty win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Veres Rivne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Karpaty 5-1 Veres Rivne | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Karpaty 2-0 Veres Rivne | Premier League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Veres Rivne 0-0 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Karpaty 5-0 Veres Rivne | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Veres Rivne 0-0 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2023 | Veres Rivne 1-2 Karpaty | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Karpaty vs Veres Rivne on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karpaty score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Veres Rivne score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Veres Rivne | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karpaty sit 1st in Premier League (9 points from 3 matches) and Veres Rivne sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Veres Rivne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karpaty vs Veres Rivne?
- The Footlab model makes Karpaty the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 11% for Veres Rivne.
- Where and when is Karpaty vs Veres Rivne played?
- Karpaty vs Veres Rivne is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ukraina, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.