Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
The Footlab model makes Chornomorets the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Obolon'-Brovar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Chornomorets (1,739) and Obolon'-Brovar (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chornomorets have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Obolon'-Brovar have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polessya(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kudrivka(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chornomorets win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Obolon'-Brovar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2025 | Obolon'-Brovar 2-0 Chornomorets | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Obolon'-Brovar 1-0 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Chornomorets 1-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Obolon'-Brovar 1-1 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Obolon'-Brovar 1-0 Chornomorets | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Chornomorets 2-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Obolon'-Brovar vs Chornomorets on Jul 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chornomorets score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Obolon'-Brovar score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Obolon'-Brovar | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chornomorets sit 15th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Obolon'-Brovar sit 10th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Obolon'-Brovar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 15 | Chornomorets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar?
- The Footlab model makes Chornomorets the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Obolon'-Brovar.
- Where and when is Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar played?
- Chornomorets vs Obolon'-Brovar is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chornomorets, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.