Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Zorya Luhansk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Dynamo Kyiv starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,014 vs 1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zorya Luhansk have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Dynamo Kyiv have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Skala 1911 Stryi(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Qarabag(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Veres Rivne(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Zorya Luhansk win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Dynamo Kyiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv 3-1 Zorya Luhansk | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Zorya Luhansk 1-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-2 Zorya Luhansk | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Zorya Luhansk 0-2 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Zorya Luhansk 0-3 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-0 Zorya Luhansk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Kyiv vs Zorya Luhansk on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zorya Luhansk score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Kyiv score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zorya Luhansk | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zorya Luhansk sit 3rd in Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Dynamo Kyiv sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Zorya Luhansk.
- Where and when is Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv played?
- Zorya Luhansk vs Dynamo Kyiv is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.