Where and when is Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka played?

Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, Ayvalık

Ayvalikgucu

Karsiyaka

The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Karsiyaka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Ayvalikgucu (1,709) and Karsiyaka (1,715).

Ayvalikgucu win38 %

Draw29 %

Karsiyaka win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayvalikgucu have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Karsiyaka have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ayvalikgucu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026	Eskişehirspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026	Eskişehirspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026	Karsiyaka(away)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Karsiyaka(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs

Karsiyaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Ayvalikgucu(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Ayvalikgucu(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Tire 2021 FK(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Söke 1970(home)	5-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Bornova 1877(away)	5-0	3. Lig - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ayvalikgucu win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Karsiyaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Karsiyaka 0-2 Ayvalikgucu	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Ayvalikgucu 0-0 Karsiyaka	3. Lig - Play-offs
Mar 14, 2026	Karsiyaka 2-0 Ayvalikgucu	3. Lig - Group 4
Nov 9, 2025	Ayvalikgucu 0-0 Karsiyaka	3. Lig - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu on Apr 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ayvalikgucu	1.4	0.8	6	5/15	5/15
Karsiyaka	2.7	0.7	7	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka?: The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Karsiyaka.
Where and when is Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka played?: Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.