Kastoria vs Veria: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 7Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Kastorias, Kastoria
The Footlab AI model makes Veria the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Kastoria. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kastoria vs Veria?
Veria starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,638 vs 1,426).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kastoria vs Veria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kastoria
Not enough data to predict the Kastoria lineup.
Veria
4-3-3- 27D. Gioukoudis
- 13F. Bouoli Effa
- 20G. Ioannou
- 14P. Ntoumanis
- 18A. Masouras
- 88L. Eleftheriadis
- 26A. Mouchalis
- 2M. Boukouvalas
- 4A. Kollaras
- 21M. Perdikis
- 1T. Venetikidis
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastoria have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Veria have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doxa Mascholouriou(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Makedonikos Siatista(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vatolakkos(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Svoronos(home) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Eordaikos(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vatolakkos(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Pierikos(away) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Kastoria score 0.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Veria score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kastoria | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Veria | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kastoria sit 6th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 (3 points from 2 matches) and Veria sit 4th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Veria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Kastoria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Kastoria vs Veria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kastoria vs Veria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Veria the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Kastoria.
- Where and when is Kastoria vs Veria played?
- Kastoria vs Veria is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Kastorias, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.