Kauno Žalgiris II vs Neptūną Klaipėda: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)VDU Valdo Adamkaus stadionas, Ringaudai
The Footlab model makes Neptūną Klaipėda the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Kauno Žalgiris II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris II vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
Neptūną Klaipėda starts as the favourite with a 287-point Elo edge (1,461 vs 1,174).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kauno Žalgiris II have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Neptūną Klaipėda have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Žalgiris II(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BFA(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kauno Žalgiris II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Neptūną Klaipėda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda 2-1 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Neptūną Klaipėda 3-1 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris II 1-3 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Kauno Žalgiris II 2-2 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Neptūną Klaipėda 2-1 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Kauno Žalgiris II 5-1 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Neptūną Klaipėda vs Kauno Žalgiris II on Jun 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kauno Žalgiris II score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Neptūną Klaipėda score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauno Žalgiris II | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Neptūną Klaipėda | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kauno Žalgiris II sit 15th in 1 Lyga (13 points from 20 matches) and Neptūną Klaipėda sit 5th (38 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 38 |
| 15 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 34 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kauno Žalgiris II vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
- The Footlab model makes Neptūną Klaipėda the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Kauno Žalgiris II.
- Where and when is Kauno Žalgiris II vs Neptūną Klaipėda played?
- Kauno Žalgiris II vs Neptūną Klaipėda is played on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at VDU Valdo Adamkaus stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.