Jonava vs Žalgiris II: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, Jonava
The Footlab model makes Žalgiris II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Jonava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jonava vs Žalgiris II?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Jonava (1,288) and Žalgiris II (1,324).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jonava have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Žalgiris II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ekranas(home) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Be1 NFA(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(away) | 4-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ekranas(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Minija(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Hegelmann II(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Jonava win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Žalgiris II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Žalgiris II 1-2 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Žalgiris II 0-0 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Jonava 1-1 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Jonava 0-4 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| May 1, 2023 | Žalgiris II 1-3 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Žalgiris II 1-2 Jonava | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Žalgiris II vs Jonava on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jonava score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Žalgiris II score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonava | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Žalgiris II | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jonava sit 10th in 1 Lyga (23 points from 21 matches) and Žalgiris II sit 8th (31 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Žalgiris II | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 31 |
| 10 | Jonava | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 27 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jonava vs Žalgiris II?
- The Footlab model makes Žalgiris II the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Jonava.
- Where and when is Jonava vs Žalgiris II played?
- Jonava vs Žalgiris II is played on October 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.