Minija vs Atmosfera: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kretingos dirbtinės dangos aikštė, Kretinga
The Footlab AI model makes Minija the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Atmosfera. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minija vs Atmosfera?
Minija starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,544 vs 1,379).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Minija vs Atmosfera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Minija
4-3-3- 45K. Aderounmu
- 7Julius Kasparavičius
- 21L. Zingertas
- 6M. A. Sidibe
- 14N. Komissarov
- 9D. Nwegbo
- 43B. Diawara
- 3E. Mockus
- 4M. Diawara
- 5E. Kirjanov
- 2V. Gaudiešius
Atmosfera
4-3-3- 14E. Gritkus
- 19K. Seki
- 17M. Fujiyoshi
- 67M. Vasiliauskas
- 8K. Kitazawa
- 6A. Pilipavicius
- 11D. Gineitis
- 15M. Bawa
- 5D. Petrauskas
- 66M. Stasys
- 1L. Juska
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minija have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Atmosfera have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(home) | 5-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 3-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Transinvest 2(home) | 3-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | BFA(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Babrungas(away) | 2-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tauras(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Minija wins, 0 draws, 2 Atmosfera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Atmosfera 0-1 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Minija 0-1 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Atmosfera 0-1 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Atmosfera 2-1 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Minija 3-1 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| Nov 4, 2022 | Atmosfera 0-2 Minija | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Minija score 2.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atmosfera score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minija | 2.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Atmosfera | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Minija sit 1st in 1 Lyga (67 points from 25 matches) and Atmosfera sit 9th (31 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68 | 13 | 67 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 33 | 31 |
A question about Minija vs Atmosfera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minija vs Atmosfera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Minija the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Atmosfera.
- Where and when is Minija vs Atmosfera played?
- Minija vs Atmosfera is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kretingos dirbtinės dangos aikštė, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.