Hegelmann II vs BFA: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes BFA the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Hegelmann II. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hegelmann II vs BFA?
BFA starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,429 vs 1,208).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hegelmann II vs BFA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hegelmann II
4-3-3- 25K. Keliauskas
- 98J. Pastukas
- 19D. Pasilys
- 88K. Janusa
- 80S. Gedziunas
- 8A. Armalas
- 55N. Stelmokas
- 35T. Giedraitis
- 42R. Sinkevicius
- 60M. Sendzikas
- 31R. Bagdonavičius
BFA
4-3-3- 77Z. Jurevicius
- 21R. Kudzin
- 8R. Shvedchenko
- 89I. Paulikas
- 10A. Osipovic
- 53R. Vilkuotis
- 48A. Sidlauskas
- 30T. Sabitu
- 4A. Kezunas
- 5D. Petrauskas
- 76U. Semaska
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hegelmann II have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; BFA have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Dainava(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Transinvest 2(away) | 1-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 5-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(away) | 0-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Žalgiris II(home) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atmosfera(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 3-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-2 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Hegelmann II wins, 0 draws, 3 BFA wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | BFA 0-1 Hegelmann II | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | BFA 1-0 Hegelmann II | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Hegelmann II 1-2 BFA | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | BFA 3-2 Hegelmann II | 1 Lyga |
| May 13, 2024 | Hegelmann II 2-0 BFA | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Hegelmann II score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; BFA score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hegelmann II | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| BFA | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hegelmann II sit 12th in 1 Lyga (25 points from 26 matches) and BFA sit 7th (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | BFA | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 43 |
| 12 | Hegelmann II | 26 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 31 | 56 | 25 |
A question about Hegelmann II vs BFA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hegelmann II vs BFA?
- The Footlab AI model makes BFA the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Hegelmann II.
- Where and when is Hegelmann II vs BFA played?
- Hegelmann II vs BFA is played on November 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.