Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Kauno Žalgiris. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş?
Beşiktaş starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (2,135 vs 1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kauno Žalgiris have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Beşiktaş have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kauno Žalgiris score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Beşiktaş score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauno Žalgiris | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Beşiktaş | 1.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Beşiktaş | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş?
- The Footlab model makes Beşiktaş the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Kauno Žalgiris.
- Where and when is Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş played?
- Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş is played on August 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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