Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Tüpraş Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Beşiktaş. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crystal Palace wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Beşiktaş (2,097) and Crystal Palace (2,184).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1- 28D. Vlahović
- 6S. Özcan
- 15J. Olaitan
- 10O. Kökçü
- 18V. Černý
- 29I. Fakili
- 62A. Murillo
- 12E. Agbadou
- 53E. Topçu
- 11K. Ouattara
- 1A. Nübel
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 22J. Strand Larsen
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 18D. Kamada
- 23Q. Timber
- 25A. Khalaili
- 5A. Disasi
- 26C. Richards
- 21H. Ahanor
- 44W. Benítez
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beşiktaş have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Crystal Palace have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amed(away) | 2-3 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(home) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 6-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Beşiktaş score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beşiktaş sit 4th in UEFA Europa League (3 points from 1 match) and Crystal Palace sit 2nd (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crystal Palace the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Beşiktaş.
- Where and when is Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace played?
- Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace is played on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Tüpraş Stadyumu, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.