Vanspor FK vs Manisa F.K.: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Atatürk Şehir Stadyumu, Van
The Footlab model makes Vanspor FK the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Manisa F.K.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vanspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Vanspor FK (1,758) and Manisa F.K. (1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vanspor FK have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Manisa F.K. have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Sakaryaspor(home) | 5-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Vanspor FK win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Manisa F.K. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manisa F.K. 4-1 Vanspor FK | 1. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vanspor FK 0-1 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Manisa F.K. 2-1 Vanspor FK | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Manisa F.K. vs Vanspor FK on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vanspor FK score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Manisa F.K. score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor FK | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Manisa F.K. | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vanspor FK sit 14th in 1. Lig (3 points from 3 matches) and Manisa F.K. sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Manisa F.K. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vanspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?
- The Footlab model makes Vanspor FK the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Manisa F.K..
- Where and when is Vanspor FK vs Manisa F.K. played?
- Vanspor FK vs Manisa F.K. is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Atatürk Şehir Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.