KCB vs Nairobi United: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kenyatta Stadium, Machakos
The Footlab AI model makes Nairobi United the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for KCB. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nairobi United wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KCB vs Nairobi United?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate KCB (1,491) and Nairobi United (1,547).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for KCB vs Nairobi United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
KCB
Not enough data to predict the KCB lineup.
Nairobi United
4-3-3- 33B. Ochieng
- 5S. Mwinyi
- 10H. Muhadjiri
- 29D. Odhiambo
- 24L. Owino
- 26B. Mzee
- 34L. Ogutu
- 2Y. Mainge
- 12K. Otiende
- 4J. Otieno
- 32K. Oduor
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KCB have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nairobi United have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | KCB(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 KCB win, 3 draws, 1 Nairobi United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nairobi United 2-2 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nairobi United 0-1 KCB | Shield Cup |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Nairobi United 1-1 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 15, 2026 | KCB 0-2 Nairobi United | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Nairobi United 0-0 KCB | Shield Cup |
Last archived meeting: Nairobi United vs KCB on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KCB score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nairobi United score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCB | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nairobi United | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KCB sit 5th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and Nairobi United sit 7th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | KCB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
A question about KCB vs Nairobi United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KCB vs Nairobi United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nairobi United the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for KCB.
- Where and when is KCB vs Nairobi United played?
- KCB vs Nairobi United is played on March 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kenyatta Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.