Keilor Park vs Altona City: prediction and stats
Victoria Premier League 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Keilor Park the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Altona City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keilor Park vs Altona City?
Keilor Park starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,691 vs 1,551).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keilor Park have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Altona City have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Essendon Royals SC(away) | 4-1 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Whittlesea United(home) | 3-3 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Goulburn Valley Suns(home) | 0-4 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Box Hill(away) | 1-0 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bayside Argonauts(home) | 0-1 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastern Lions(home) | 3-4 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kingston City(home) | 1-4 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Essendon Royals SC(away) | 2-3 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Whittlesea United(home) | 0-0 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Box Hill(away) | 1-3 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Keilor Park win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Altona City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Altona City 0-1 Keilor Park | Victoria Premier League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Altona City vs Keilor Park on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Keilor Park score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Altona City score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keilor Park | 1.4 | 1.4 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Altona City | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keilor Park sit 5th in Victoria Premier League 2 (41 points from 25 matches) and Altona City sit 13th (17 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Keilor Park | 25 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 36 | 41 |
| 13 | Altona City | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 42 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keilor Park vs Altona City?
- The Footlab model makes Keilor Park the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Altona City.
- Where and when is Keilor Park vs Altona City played?
- Keilor Park vs Altona City is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC), in the Victoria Premier League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.