Malvern vs Werribee City: prediction and stats
Victoria Premier League 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Malvern the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Werribee City. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malvern vs Werribee City?
Malvern starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,526).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Werribee City have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kingston City(home) | 1-3 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Springvale(away) | 5-2 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastern Lions(home) | 2-2 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Goulburn Valley Suns(home) | 3-1 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nunawading(away) | 4-1 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Springvale(home) | 1-3 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Goulburn Valley Suns(away) | 0-2 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nunawading(home) | 4-0 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moreland City(away) | 4-4 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Keilor Park(home) | 1-3 | Victoria Premier League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Malvern win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Werribee City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Werribee City 0-1 Malvern | Victoria Premier League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Werribee City vs Malvern on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malvern score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Werribee City score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malvern | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Werribee City | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malvern sit 1st in Victoria Premier League 2 (53 points from 25 matches) and Werribee City sit 12th (24 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 62 | 32 | 53 |
| 12 | Werribee City | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 46 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malvern vs Werribee City?
- The Footlab model makes Malvern the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Werribee City.
- Where and when is Malvern vs Werribee City played?
- Malvern vs Werribee City is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC), in the Victoria Premier League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.