Nairn County vs Invergordon: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Station Park, Nairn
The Footlab model makes Nairn County the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Invergordon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nairn County vs Invergordon?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Nairn County (1,434) and Invergordon (1,514).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nairn County have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Invergordon have 3, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 1-6 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lossiemouth(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fraserburgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Buckie Thistle(home) | 0-6 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wick Academy(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Formartine United(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deveronvale(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nairn County score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Invergordon score 1.2 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairn County | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Invergordon | 1.2 | 2.8 | 2 | 7/12 | 10/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nairn County | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 56 | 52 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nairn County vs Invergordon?
- The Footlab model makes Nairn County the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Invergordon.
- Where and when is Nairn County vs Invergordon played?
- Nairn County vs Invergordon is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Station Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Banks O' DeevsFormartine United
- Nov 14, 2026FraserburghvsHuntly
- Nov 14, 2026Buckie ThistlevsWick Academy
- Nov 14, 2026ClachnacuddinvsBrora Rangers
- Nov 14, 2026Forres MechanicsvsRothes
- Nov 14, 2026KeithvsInverurie Loco Works
- Nov 14, 2026LossiemouthvsTurriff United
- Nov 14, 2026Strathspey ThistlevsDeveronvale