Match

Keith vs Wick Academy: prediction and stats

Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 8Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kynoch Park, Keith

KeithWick Academy

The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Wick Academy. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Keith vs Wick Academy?

Keith starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,476 vs 1,264).

Keith win76 %
Draw16 %
Wick Academy win8 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keith have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Wick Academy have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Keith
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Formartine United(away)1-4Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026Clachnacuddin(away)1-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 8, 2026Lossiemouth(home)2-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 5, 2026Fraserburgh(away)0-1Football League - Highland League
Aug 1, 2026Nairn County(home)1-1Football League - Highland League
Wick Academy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rothes(away)2-3Football League - Highland League
Aug 19, 2026Invergordon(home)1-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026Huntly(away)0-3Football League - Highland League
Aug 8, 2026Turriff United(home)0-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 5, 2026Brora Rangers(away)0-8Football League - Highland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Keith win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Wick Academy win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Wick Academy 2-3 KeithFootball League - Highland League
Nov 29, 2025Keith 3-2 Wick AcademyFootball League - Highland League
Mar 22, 2025Keith 0-1 Wick AcademyFootball League - Highland League
Oct 19, 2024Wick Academy 0-1 KeithFootball League - Highland League
Apr 27, 2024Keith 0-4 Wick AcademyFootball League - Highland League
Apr 13, 2024Wick Academy 2-0 KeithFootball League - Highland League

Last archived meeting: Wick Academy vs Keith on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wick Academy score 0.6 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Keith1.71.358/156/15
Wick Academy0.62.716/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Keith sit 6th in Football League - Highland League (58 points from 34 matches) and Wick Academy sit 16th (28 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Keith3417710524758
16Wick Academy347720426528

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Keith vs Wick Academy?
The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Wick Academy.
Where and when is Keith vs Wick Academy played?
Keith vs Wick Academy is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Keith and Wick Academy

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