Where and when is Keith vs Invergordon played?

Keith vs Invergordon is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Keith vs Invergordon: prediction and stats

Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kynoch Park, Keith

Keith

Invergordon

The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Invergordon. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Keith vs Invergordon?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Keith (1,476) and Invergordon (1,514).

Keith win57 %

Draw23 %

Invergordon win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keith have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Invergordon have 3, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Keith
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Formartine United(away)	1-4	Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026	Clachnacuddin(away)	1-1	Football League - Highland League
Aug 8, 2026	Lossiemouth(home)	2-2	Football League - Highland League
Aug 5, 2026	Fraserburgh(away)	0-1	Football League - Highland League
Aug 1, 2026	Nairn County(home)	1-1	Football League - Highland League

Invergordon
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Buckie Thistle(home)	0-6	Football League - Highland League
Aug 19, 2026	Wick Academy(away)	2-1	Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026	Formartine United(home)	1-2	Football League - Highland League
Aug 8, 2026	Deveronvale(home)	3-0	Football League - Highland League
Aug 5, 2026	Clachnacuddin(away)	0-1	Football League - Highland League

How many goals should we expect?

Keith score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Invergordon score 1.2 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Keith	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	6/15
Invergordon	1.2	2.8	2	7/12	10/12

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Keith	34	17	7	10	52	47	58

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Keith vs Invergordon?: The Footlab model makes Keith the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Invergordon.
Where and when is Keith vs Invergordon played?: Keith vs Invergordon is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.