Keith vs Invergordon: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kynoch Park, Keith
The Footlab AI model makes Keith the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Invergordon. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keith vs Invergordon?
On Elo ratings, Keith has 1,482 points and Invergordon 1,457.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Keith vs Invergordon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Keith
Not enough data to predict the Keith lineup.
Invergordon
Not enough data to predict the Invergordon lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keith have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Invergordon have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Huntly(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turriff United(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stonehaven(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Brora Rangers(away) | 0-5 | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Strathspey Thistle(home) | 2-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rothes(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 0-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Threave Rovers(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Huntly(away) | 0-7 | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Turriff United(home) | 3-1 | Football League - Highland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Keith score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Invergordon score 1.3 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Invergordon | 1.3 | 2.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keith | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 47 | 58 |
A question about Keith vs Invergordon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keith vs Invergordon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Keith the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Invergordon.
- Where and when is Keith vs Invergordon played?
- Keith vs Invergordon is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kynoch Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 17, 2026Buckie ThistlevsDeveronvale
- Oct 17, 2026Forres MechanicsvsHuntly
- Oct 17, 2026Nairn CountyvsTurriff United
- Oct 17, 2026RothesvsInverurie Loco Works
- Oct 17, 2026Wick AcademyvsFormartine United