Kepezspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hasan Doğan Stadyumu, Antalya
The Footlab model makes Kepezspor the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Bursa Yıldırımspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kepezspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Kepezspor (1,535) and Bursa Yıldırımspor (1,566).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kepezspor have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Bursa Yıldırımspor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(away) | 0-6 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Altınordu(home) | 2-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Ankaragücü(home) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Galata(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kepezspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bursa Yıldırımspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2023 | Kepezspor 2-0 Bursa Yıldırımspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-1 Kepezspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Kepezspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor on May 20, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Kepezspor score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bursa Yıldırımspor score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kepezspor | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Bursa Yıldırımspor | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kepezspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
- The Footlab model makes Kepezspor the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Bursa Yıldırımspor.
- Where and when is Kepezspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor played?
- Kepezspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hasan Doğan Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.