Denizli İYG vs Balıkesirspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, Denizli
The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Denizli İYG. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Denizli İYG vs Balıkesirspor?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Denizli İYG (1,567) and Balıkesirspor (1,664).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Denizli İYG have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Balıkesirspor have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Anadolu Üniversitesi(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kütahyaspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 0-5 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 4-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Denizli İYG(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Denizli İYG win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Balıkesirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Denizli İYG 0-1 Balıkesirspor | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Balıkesirspor 3-1 Denizli İYG | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Denizli İYG vs Balıkesirspor on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Denizli İYG score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denizli İYG | 1.1 | 1.0 | 8 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
| Balıkesirspor | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Denizli İYG vs Balıkesirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Denizli İYG.
- Where and when is Denizli İYG vs Balıkesirspor played?
- Denizli İYG vs Balıkesirspor is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Başkarcı Şehit Sami Er Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.