Ayvalikgucu vs Etimesgut SK: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, Ayvalık
The Footlab AI model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Etimesgut SK. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ayvalikgucu wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayvalikgucu vs Etimesgut SK?
On Elo ratings, Ayvalikgucu has 1,716 points and Etimesgut SK 1,646.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ayvalikgucu vs Etimesgut SK
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ayvalikgucu
Not enough data to predict the Ayvalikgucu lineup.
Etimesgut SK
4-3-3- 17O. Dedeoğlu
- 7A. Durmuş
- 11E. Özdemir
- 10Ö. Bozan
- 80S. Etöz
- 8T. Güngör
- 68O. Bayrak
- 53A. Kazmaz
- 77E. Mızrakcı
- 27N. Koç
- 32R. Özkanlı
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 09:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayvalikgucu have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Etimesgut SK have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Sarıyer(away) | 0-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Nilüfer Belediye(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Denizli İYG(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bigaspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 0-4 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Akşehirspor(away) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 2-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Ayvalikgucu wins, 1 draw, 3 Etimesgut SK wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2016 | Etimesgut SK 1-0 Ayvalikgucu | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2015 | Ayvalikgucu 1-2 Etimesgut SK | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2015 | Etimesgut SK 3-0 Ayvalikgucu | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Ayvalikgucu 0-0 Etimesgut SK | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Etimesgut SK vs Ayvalikgucu on Jan 31, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Etimesgut SK score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayvalikgucu | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Etimesgut SK | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayvalikgucu sit 7th in 3. Lig - Group 2 (15 points from 8 matches) and Etimesgut SK sit 3rd (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Etimesgut SK | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 | Ayvalikgucu | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
A question about Ayvalikgucu vs Etimesgut SK?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayvalikgucu vs Etimesgut SK?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Etimesgut SK.
- Where and when is Ayvalikgucu vs Etimesgut SK played?
- Ayvalikgucu vs Etimesgut SK is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.