Kettering Town vs Stamford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Latimer Park, Kettering, Northamptonshire
The Footlab model makes Kettering Town the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Stamford. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kettering Town vs Stamford?
Kettering Town starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kettering Town have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Stamford have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kettering Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Stamford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | Stamford 2-1 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Kettering Town 1-1 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Stamford 1-1 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Kettering Town 2-0 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Kettering Town 1-2 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Stamford 3-2 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Stamford vs Kettering Town on Nov 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kettering Town score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Stamford score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kettering Town | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Stamford | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kettering Town sit 9th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 2 matches) and Stamford sit 22nd (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kettering Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kettering Town vs Stamford?
- The Footlab model makes Kettering Town the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Stamford.
- Where and when is Kettering Town vs Stamford played?
- Kettering Town vs Stamford is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Latimer Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026StourbridgevsLeamington
- Aug 31, 2026Bury TownvsLeiston
- Aug 31, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsHitchin Town
- Aug 31, 2026Needham MarketvsPeterborough Sports
- Aug 31, 2026Redditch UnitedvsHalesowen Town
- Aug 31, 2026Rushall OlympicvsAlvechurch
- Aug 31, 2026Anstey NomadsvsBanbury United
- Aug 31, 2026Racing Club WarwickvsStratford Town