Real Bedford vs Kettering Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)McMullen Park, Cardington, Bedfordshire
The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Kettering Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Bedford vs Kettering Town?
Real Bedford starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Bedford have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Kettering Town have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hertford Town(home) | 11-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Real Bedford win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kettering Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Real Bedford 3-1 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Kettering Town 2-1 Real Bedford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Real Bedford 0-2 Kettering Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Real Bedford vs Kettering Town on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kettering Town score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Bedford | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Kettering Town | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Bedford sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern Central (9 points from 3 matches) and Kettering Town sit 9th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Kettering Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Bedford vs Kettering Town?
- The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Kettering Town.
- Where and when is Real Bedford vs Kettering Town played?
- Real Bedford vs Kettering Town is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at McMullen Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Bury TownvsRushall Olympic
- Nov 14, 2026Halesowen TownvsPeterborough Sports
- Nov 14, 2026AlvechurchvsHitchin Town
- Nov 14, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsStourbridge
- Nov 14, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsRacing Club Warwick
- Nov 14, 2026Needham MarketvsBanbury United
- Nov 14, 2026Redditch UnitedvsStamford
- Nov 14, 2026LeamingtonvsLeiston