KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SW Essen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 22Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Grotenburg-Stadion, Krefeld
The Footlab model makes KFC Uerdingen 05 the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SW Essen?
KFC Uerdingen 05 starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KFC Uerdingen 05 have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; SW Essen have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 29, 2026 | Meerbusch(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Kleve(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Scherpenberg(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Kleve(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 KFC Uerdingen 05 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SW Essen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | SW Essen 0-2 KFC Uerdingen 05 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 20, 2025 | KFC Uerdingen 05 0-1 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 8, 2024 | SW Essen 6-4 KFC Uerdingen 05 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Nov 4, 2023 | KFC Uerdingen 05 4-1 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Apr 15, 2023 | KFC Uerdingen 05 4-4 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 12, 2022 | SW Essen 0-2 KFC Uerdingen 05 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs KFC Uerdingen 05 on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KFC Uerdingen 05 score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KFC Uerdingen 05 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| SW Essen | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KFC Uerdingen 05 sit 6th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and SW Essen sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | KFC Uerdingen 05 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | SW Essen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SW Essen?
- The Footlab model makes KFC Uerdingen 05 the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SW Essen played?
- KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SW Essen is played on March 12, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Grotenburg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 12, 2027Wuppertaler SVvsSC St. Tönis
- Mar 14, 2027MonheimvsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Mar 14, 2027SchonnebeckvsBW Dingden
- Mar 14, 2027MeerbuschvsSonsbeck
- Mar 14, 2027Germania RatingenvsHolzheimer SG
- Mar 14, 2027Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsSF Baumberg
- Mar 14, 2027Solingen-WaldvsScherpenberg
- Mar 14, 2027BüderichvsSSVg Velbert