Kidderminster Harriers vs Carlisle: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster, Worcestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Kidderminster Harriers the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Carlisle. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kidderminster Harriers wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kidderminster Harriers vs Carlisle?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Kidderminster Harriers (1,994) and Carlisle (1,936).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kidderminster Harriers vs Carlisle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kidderminster Harriers
4-3-3- 9L. Walker
- 28C. Stewart
- 12L. Amantchi
- 10C. Dolan
- 26D. Davis
- 14Z. Brown
- 33R. Devine
- 8Ben Crompton
- 4C. Harries
- 6R. Faakye
- 1Jack Wint
Carlisle
4-3-3- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 9G. Kelly
- 6M. Azeez
- 4H. Bunker
- 30T. Jenks
- 15B. Nicholson
- 17L. Duru
- 5M. Feeney
- 18J. Ellis
- 1A. Desbois
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kidderminster Harriers have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Carlisle have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Solihull Moors(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Boreham Wood(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Fylde(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-5 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Kidderminster Harriers wins, 1 draw, 0 Carlisle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Carlisle 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers | National League |
Last archived meeting: Carlisle vs Kidderminster Harriers on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kidderminster Harriers score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kidderminster Harriers | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kidderminster Harriers sit 11th in National League (20 points from 13 matches) and Carlisle sit 14th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kidderminster Harriers | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 20 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 17 |
A question about Kidderminster Harriers vs Carlisle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kidderminster Harriers vs Carlisle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kidderminster Harriers the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Carlisle.
- Where and when is Kidderminster Harriers vs Carlisle played?
- Kidderminster Harriers vs Carlisle is played on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Aggborough Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.