Southend vs Boston United: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Roots Hall, Southend-on-Sea, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Boston United. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southend vs Boston United?
Southend starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,783).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Southend vs Boston United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Southend
4-3-3- 9H. Cardwell
- 14P. Omochere
- 27R. Colclough
- 19L. Chambers-Parillon
- 8D. Oldaker
- 4A. Hartigan
- 2V. Campbell
- 3Kyle James McAdam
- 6B. Goodliffe
- 20D. Cox
- 1J. Duncan
Boston United
4-3-3- 9Tom Cursons
- 10C. McBride
- 18L. Wheeldon
- 30N. Pozo
- 15Oliver Bostock
- 8G. Holohan
- 4C. Teale
- 16L. Sutton
- 28T. Agyemang
- 23J. Grimes
- 13Louis Chadwick
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southend have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Boston United have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 6-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 5-6 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Southend(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 0-6 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 0-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Southend wins, 2 draws, 1 Boston United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Boston United 1-2 Southend | National League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Boston United 3-3 Southend | National League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Southend 1-1 Boston United | National League |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Boston United 3-0 Southend | National League |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Southend 2-0 Boston United | National League |
Last archived meeting: Boston United vs Southend on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southend score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Boston United score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southend | 2.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Boston United | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southend sit 3rd in National League (27 points from 13 matches) and Boston United sit 21st (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
| 21 | Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 12 |
A question about Southend vs Boston United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southend vs Boston United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Boston United.
- Where and when is Southend vs Boston United played?
- Southend vs Boston United is played on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Roots Hall, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.