Kigezi HomeBoyz vs NEC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes NEC the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for Kigezi HomeBoyz. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kigezi HomeBoyz vs NEC?
NEC starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,301).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kigezi HomeBoyz vs NEC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Not enough data to predict the Kigezi HomeBoyz lineup.
NEC
Not enough data to predict the NEC lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Kigezi HomeBoyz have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; NEC have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Kitara(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | SC Villa(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | KCCA(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lugazi(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Express(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | URA(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Mbarara City(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Lugazi(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | KCCA(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kigezi HomeBoyz score 0.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 4; NEC score 1.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kigezi HomeBoyz | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 1/4 | 2/4 |
| NEC | 1.0 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kigezi HomeBoyz sit 18th in Premier League (1 point from 4 matches) and NEC sit 3rd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | NEC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
A question about Kigezi HomeBoyz vs NEC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kigezi HomeBoyz vs NEC?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for Kigezi HomeBoyz.
- Where and when is Kigezi HomeBoyz vs NEC played?
- Kigezi HomeBoyz vs NEC is played on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.