Police vs SC Villa: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)MTN Omondi Stadium, Kampala
The Footlab AI model makes SC Villa the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Police. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Villa wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police vs SC Villa?
SC Villa starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,543 vs 1,405).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Police vs SC Villa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Police
Not enough data to predict the Police lineup.
SC Villa
Not enough data to predict the SC Villa lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; SC Villa have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lugazi(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | UPDF(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Blacks Power(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Mbarara City(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | LMPS(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Kataka(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Members(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | LDF(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kigezi HomeBoyz(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Police win, 2 draws, 3 SC Villa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Police 1-0 SC Villa | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | SC Villa 2-1 Police | Premier League |
| May 11, 2025 | Police 1-3 SC Villa | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2024 | SC Villa 1-1 Police | Premier League |
| May 2, 2022 | Police 0-0 SC Villa | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2021 | SC Villa 1-0 Police | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SC Villa score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| SC Villa | 1.3 | 0.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 9th in Premier League (7 points from 5 matches) and SC Villa sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SC Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Police | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
A question about Police vs SC Villa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police vs SC Villa?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Villa the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Police.
- Where and when is Police vs SC Villa played?
- Police vs SC Villa is played on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at MTN Omondi Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.