Kilia Kiel vs Eckernförder SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kilia-Platz, Kiel
The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Eckernförder SV. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kilia Kiel vs Eckernförder SV?
Kilia Kiel starts as the favourite with a 297-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilia Kiel have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Eckernförder SV have 2, 0 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 17, 2025 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Kilia Kiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Eckernförder SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | Kilia Kiel 8-1 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Eckernförder SV 3-3 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Eckernförder SV 0-3 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Kilia Kiel 5-1 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Kilia Kiel vs Eckernförder SV on Dec 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Kilia Kiel score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Eckernförder SV score 1.3 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilia Kiel | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Eckernförder SV | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kilia Kiel sit 7th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (8 points from 5 matches) and Eckernförder SV sit 14th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kilia Kiel | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 14 | Eckernförder SV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kilia Kiel vs Eckernförder SV?
- The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 73%, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Eckernförder SV.
- Where and when is Kilia Kiel vs Eckernförder SV played?
- Kilia Kiel vs Eckernförder SV is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kilia-Platz, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.