Eckernförder SV vs Kilia Kiel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadtwerke Arena, Eckernförde
The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Eckernförder SV. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eckernförder SV vs Kilia Kiel?
Kilia Kiel starts as the favourite with a 297-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eckernförder SV have 2 wins, 0 draws and 13 defeats; Kilia Kiel have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 17, 2025 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Eckernförder SV win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kilia Kiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | Kilia Kiel 8-1 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Eckernförder SV 3-3 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Eckernförder SV 0-3 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Kilia Kiel 5-1 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Kilia Kiel vs Eckernförder SV on Dec 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Eckernförder SV score 1.3 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kilia Kiel score 3.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eckernförder SV | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Kilia Kiel | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eckernförder SV sit 14th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (3 points from 5 matches) and Kilia Kiel sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kilia Kiel | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| 14 | Eckernförder SV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eckernförder SV vs Kilia Kiel?
- The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Eckernförder SV.
- Where and when is Eckernförder SV vs Kilia Kiel played?
- Eckernförder SV vs Kilia Kiel is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadtwerke Arena, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.