Kilia Kiel vs TSB Flensburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kilia-Platz, Kiel
The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for TSB Flensburg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kilia Kiel vs TSB Flensburg?
Kilia Kiel starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilia Kiel have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; TSB Flensburg have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Kilia Kiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 TSB Flensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | TSB Flensburg 1-0 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 16, 2024 | TSB Flensburg 2-3 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Kilia Kiel 6-1 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Kilia Kiel 5-0 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 24, 2022 | TSB Flensburg 1-2 Kilia Kiel | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: TSB Flensburg vs Kilia Kiel on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kilia Kiel score 3.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; TSB Flensburg score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilia Kiel | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| TSB Flensburg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kilia Kiel sit 7th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (8 points from 5 matches) and TSB Flensburg sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Kilia Kiel | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kilia Kiel vs TSB Flensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Kilia Kiel the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for TSB Flensburg.
- Where and when is Kilia Kiel vs TSB Flensburg played?
- Kilia Kiel vs TSB Flensburg is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kilia-Platz, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.