Phönix L. II vs Kaltenkirchen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Phönix L. II the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Kaltenkirchen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Phönix L. II vs Kaltenkirchen?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Phönix L. II (1,783) and Kaltenkirchen (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Phönix L. II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kaltenkirchen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Eichede(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Phönix L. II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kaltenkirchen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen 1-2 Phönix L. II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Kaltenkirchen 4-1 Phönix L. II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Phönix L. II 3-2 Kaltenkirchen | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Kaltenkirchen vs Phönix L. II on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Phönix L. II score 2.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kaltenkirchen score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phönix L. II | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Kaltenkirchen | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phönix L. II sit 5th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (9 points from 5 matches) and Kaltenkirchen sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phönix L. II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
| 10 | Kaltenkirchen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Phönix L. II vs Kaltenkirchen?
- The Footlab model makes Phönix L. II the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Kaltenkirchen.
- Where and when is Phönix L. II vs Kaltenkirchen played?
- Phönix L. II vs Kaltenkirchen is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.