Oldenburger SV vs Nordmark Satrup: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hans-Peter-Storm-Stadion, Oldenburg in Holstein
The Footlab model makes Oldenburger SV the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Nordmark Satrup. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oldenburger SV vs Nordmark Satrup?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Oldenburger SV (1,689) and Nordmark Satrup (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldenburger SV have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Nordmark Satrup have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Oldenburger SV win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Nordmark Satrup win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup 1-3 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oldenburger SV 4-2 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Nordmark Satrup 5-0 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Nordmark Satrup 5-3 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Oldenburger SV 2-0 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Nordmark Satrup 2-4 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Nordmark Satrup vs Oldenburger SV on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oldenburger SV score 1.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nordmark Satrup score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldenburger SV | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Nordmark Satrup | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oldenburger SV sit 9th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (7 points from 5 matches) and Nordmark Satrup sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nordmark Satrup | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 9 | Oldenburger SV | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oldenburger SV vs Nordmark Satrup?
- The Footlab model makes Oldenburger SV the favourite at 43%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Nordmark Satrup.
- Where and when is Oldenburger SV vs Nordmark Satrup played?
- Oldenburger SV vs Nordmark Satrup is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hans-Peter-Storm-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.