Heider SV vs VfR Neumünster: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Meldorfer Straße, Heide
The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Heider SV. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heider SV vs VfR Neumünster?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Heider SV (1,784) and VfR Neumünster (1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heider SV have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; VfR Neumünster have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Heider SV win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 VfR Neumünster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster 6-1 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Heider SV 1-4 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 31, 2025 | VfR Neumünster 2-1 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Heider SV 1-4 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 6, 2024 | VfR Neumünster 1-6 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 4, 2024 | VfR Neumünster 2-3 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: VfR Neumünster vs Heider SV on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heider SV score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heider SV | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| VfR Neumünster | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heider SV sit 13th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (4 points from 5 matches) and VfR Neumünster sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfR Neumünster | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 13 | Heider SV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heider SV vs VfR Neumünster?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Heider SV.
- Where and when is Heider SV vs VfR Neumünster played?
- Heider SV vs VfR Neumünster is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Meldorfer Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.