Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock
The Footlab AI model makes Aberdeen the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Kilmarnock. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aberdeen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Kilmarnock (1,862) and Aberdeen (1,886).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kilmarnock
4-2-3-1- 9J. Hugill
- 18T. Lowery
- 11G. Kiltie
- 8E. Ring
- 10T. John-Jules
- 36A. Tshibola
- 21M. Schjønning-Larsen
- 4C. McCarthy
- 14G. Stanger
- 3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
- 12C. Ferrie
Aberdeen
5-3-2- 15K. Nisbet
- 9A. Mouloua
- 25C. Ronan
- 40F. Marshall
- 32A. Aremu
- 28C. Cadden
- 24N. Guinness-Walker
- 21G. Molloy
- 5M. Knoester
- 22J. Milne
- 27M. Müller
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 12:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kilmarnock have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Aberdeen have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | ST Johnstone(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 4-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kilmarnock win, 2 draws, 3 Aberdeen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kilmarnock 1-1 Aberdeen | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aberdeen 0-0 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aberdeen 1-0 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kilmarnock 3-0 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Aberdeen 2-1 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Kilmarnock 0-1 Aberdeen | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kilmarnock score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aberdeen score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Aberdeen | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kilmarnock sit 12th in Premiership (5 points from 8 matches) and Aberdeen sit 8th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
A question about Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aberdeen the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Kilmarnock.
- Where and when is Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen played?
- Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.