Celtic vs ST Mirren: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Celtic Park, Glasgow
The Footlab model makes Celtic the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for ST Mirren. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtic vs ST Mirren?
Celtic starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (2,184 vs 1,885).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtic have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; ST Mirren have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lask Linz(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 4-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 5-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-5 | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ST Johnstone(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Falkirk(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 4-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Celtic win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 ST Mirren win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Celtic 6-2 ST Mirren | FA Cup |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Celtic 1-0 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Dec 14, 2025 | ST Mirren 3-1 Celtic | League Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | ST Mirren 0-1 Celtic | Premiership |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Celtic 1-0 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| May 17, 2025 | Celtic 1-1 ST Mirren | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtic score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; ST Mirren score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 2.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| ST Mirren | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtic sit 1st in Premiership (6 points from 2 matches) and ST Mirren sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | ST Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtic vs ST Mirren?
- The Footlab model makes Celtic the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for ST Mirren.
- Where and when is Celtic vs ST Mirren played?
- Celtic vs ST Mirren is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Celtic Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.