Celtic vs ST Mirren: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Celtic Park, Glasgow
The Footlab AI model makes Celtic the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for ST Mirren. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtic vs ST Mirren?
Celtic starts as the favourite with a 280-point Elo edge (2,137 vs 1,856).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celtic vs ST Mirren
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celtic
4-2-3-1- 9K. Høgh
- 42C. McGregor
- 22M. Baur
- 11C. Durán
- 8B. Nygren
- 17S. Tounekti
- 51Colby Donovan
- 5L. Scales
- 63K. Tierney
- 47D. Murray
- 1V. Sinisalo
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1- 88K. Phillips
- 8R. Carr
- 19Ismeal Kabia
- 30F. Taylor
- 48P. Nsio
- 23C. Mochrie
- 13A. Gogić
- 3D. John
- 53Henry Fieldson
- 47C. Ramsay
- 1J. Chapman
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtic have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; ST Mirren have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 9, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 0-5 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Celtic wins, 0 draws, 1 ST Mirren win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | ST Mirren 1-2 Celtic | Premiership |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Celtic 6-2 ST Mirren | FA Cup |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Celtic 1-0 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Dec 14, 2025 | ST Mirren 3-1 Celtic | League Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | ST Mirren 0-1 Celtic | Premiership |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Celtic 1-0 ST Mirren | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtic score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; ST Mirren score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| ST Mirren | 1.7 | 1.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtic sit 1st in Premiership (21 points from 8 matches) and ST Mirren sit 7th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | ST Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Celtic vs ST Mirren?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtic vs ST Mirren?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celtic the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for ST Mirren.
- Where and when is Celtic vs ST Mirren played?
- Celtic vs ST Mirren is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Celtic Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.