Match

Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu

KitakyushuFC Ryukyu

The Footlab AI model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kitakyushu wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,158 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Kitakyushu (1,682) and FC Ryukyu (1,677).

42%27%31%
Kitakyushu winDrawFC Ryukyu win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kitakyushu

4-3-3
  1. 11Koh Seung-Jin
  2. 37K. Yoshida
  3. 52M. Nishimura
  1. 66D. Takahashi
  2. 18S. Hiramatsu
  3. 8M. Yoshinaga
  1. 20S. Yasumitsu
  2. 28K. Yokokubo
  3. 30K. Fukumori
  4. 5T. Narasaka
  1. 31K. Otani

FC Ryukyu

4-3-3
  1. 23K. Sota
  2. 9H. Asakawa
  3. 19T. Teruuchi
  1. 17Y. Kato
  2. 32F. Takayanagi
  3. 8H. Horiuchi
  1. 14J. Suzuki
  2. 24N. Kawaguchi
  3. 27Y. Funabashi
  4. 4H. Fujiharu
  1. 1H. Sato

Computed on November 9, 2026 at 01:44 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; FC Ryukyu have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitakyushu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026FC Gifu(away)0-1J3 League
Nov 3, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)0-1J3 League
Oct 31, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(away)2-0J3 League
Oct 25, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)3-1J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Fukushima United(away)1-2J3 League
FC Ryukyu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Fukushima United(away)1-4J3 League
Nov 3, 2026FC Gifu(home)2-3J3 League
Oct 31, 2026Gainare Tottori(home)5-2J3 League
Oct 24, 2026Nara Club(away)3-1J3 League
Oct 21, 2026Parceiro Nagano(away)1-0J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Kitakyushu wins, 0 draws, 1 FC Ryukyu win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 9, 2026FC Ryukyu 3-0 KitakyushuJ3 League
Apr 18, 2026FC Ryukyu 0-2 KitakyushuJ2/J3 League
Mar 29, 2026Kitakyushu 1-0 FC RyukyuJ2/J3 League
Oct 25, 2025Kitakyushu 2-1 FC RyukyuJ3 League
May 17, 2025FC Ryukyu 0-1 KitakyushuJ3 League
Jul 27, 2024FC Ryukyu 0-1 KitakyushuJ3 League

Last archived meeting: FC Ryukyu vs Kitakyushu on Sep 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kitakyushu score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ryukyu score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kitakyushu1.31.638/158/15
FC Ryukyu1.61.649/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kitakyushu sit 13th in J3 League (19 points from 16 matches) and FC Ryukyu sit 11th (23 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11FC Ryukyu16727242423
13Kitakyushu16547212419

A question about Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu?
The Footlab AI model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for FC Ryukyu.
Where and when is Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu played?
Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu is played on May 23, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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