Match

Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu

KitakyushuFC Ryukyu

The Footlab model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Kitakyushu (1,620) and FC Ryukyu (1,601).

Kitakyushu win42 %
Draw27 %
FC Ryukyu win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; FC Ryukyu have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitakyushu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tochigi SC(away)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Okinawa SV(home)1-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)0-0J3 League
Jul 18, 2026Yokohama FC(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Tochigi SC(away)1-2J2/J3 League
FC Ryukyu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Osaka(away)2-2J3 League
Aug 15, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(away)0-1J3 League
Jul 17, 2026Urawa(home)5-4Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Fukushima United(away)1-1J2/J3 League
May 31, 2026Imabari(away)2-1J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Kitakyushu win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FC Ryukyu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026FC Ryukyu 0-2 KitakyushuJ2/J3 League
Mar 29, 2026Kitakyushu 1-0 FC RyukyuJ2/J3 League
Oct 25, 2025Kitakyushu 2-1 FC RyukyuJ3 League
May 17, 2025FC Ryukyu 0-1 KitakyushuJ3 League
Jul 27, 2024FC Ryukyu 0-1 KitakyushuJ3 League
Apr 10, 2024Kitakyushu 2-0 FC RyukyuJ3 League

Last archived meeting: FC Ryukyu vs Kitakyushu on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kitakyushu1.11.9210/1510/15
FC Ryukyu1.11.528/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kitakyushu sit 15th in J3 League (2 points from 2 matches) and FC Ryukyu sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Kitakyushu2020222
18FC Ryukyu2011231

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu?
The Footlab model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for FC Ryukyu.
Where and when is Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu played?
Kitakyushu vs FC Ryukyu is played on May 23, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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